Cryptocurrency & Alternative Assets

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  • 1.  Please pardon my AI slop

    Posted 2 days ago

    Bitcoin: The Revolution That Became the Establishment

    In 2009, after the global financial crisis, a mysterious genius named Satoshi Nakamoto introduced Bitcoin.

    The idea was simple:

    "Governments print too much money."

    "Central banks create inflation."

    "Politicians borrow endlessly."

    "We need a currency independent of governments."

    People nodded.

    Some bought Bitcoin for $10.

    Some bought pizza.

    One group became rich.

    The other got lunch.


    Phase 1: Down With Governments!

    Bitcoin was supposed to be the financial equivalent of a teenager moving out of his parents' house.

    "No rules."

    "No authority."

    "No central control."

    "No dependence on governments."

    The movement was revolutionary.

    It was a declaration of independence.

    A financial Boston Tea Party.

    The dream was that one day you would buy coffee, houses, yachts, and perhaps a small moon using Bitcoin.

    Fast forward fifteen years.

    Today, Bitcoin investors wake up every morning asking:

    "What did the Federal Reserve say?"

    "When is the next ETF approval?"

    "Will the government buy Bitcoin for its reserves?"

    The same people who once wanted to escape government now watch government press conferences with greater excitement than political reporters.

    The revolution has become heavily dependent on the institution it was designed to overthrow.

    It's like a teenager running away from home and later asking his parents to co-sign a mortgage.


    Phase 2: The Universal Currency

    Bitcoin supporters originally claimed:

    "One currency for the entire world."

    "Send any amount."

    "Anytime."

    "Anywhere."

    "Instantly."

    This sounded magnificent.

    A single currency for humanity.

    No exchange rates.

    No banks.

    No borders.

    Then reality arrived.

    People discovered that buying coffee with Bitcoin was slightly more complicated than buying coffee with coffee money.

    Transaction times varied.

    Fees varied.

    Prices varied.

    One day your sandwich cost 0.0001 Bitcoin.

    The next day your sandwich cost a used Honda Civic.

    Merchants politely declined the opportunity to rewrite menus every ten minutes.

    Gradually Bitcoin stopped being used for transactions.

    The solution?

    Nobody talks about transactions anymore.

    Problem solved.


    Phase 3: The Store of Value

    When the currency argument became difficult, a new slogan emerged.

    "Bitcoin is digital gold."

    This was brilliant.

    If nobody uses it as currency, simply redefine success.

    Imagine opening a restaurant.

    Nobody comes.

    So you announce:

    "We were never a restaurant. We are actually a museum."

    Bitcoin became a store of value.

    Now, gold has some interesting characteristics.

    It has been valued for thousands of years.

    It is physically scarce.

    You can touch it.

    You can bury it.

    You can wear it.

    Bitcoin's value proposition became:

    "It is valuable because everyone agrees it is valuable."

    To be fair, that's also true for many things in finance.

    The difference is that gold doesn't disappear because someone forgot a password from 2011.

    Somewhere there are hard drives containing billions of dollars of Bitcoin.

    Archaeologists may someday spend more time searching landfills than ancient pyramids.


    Phase 4: One Currency? How About Ten Million?

    Historically, currencies were inconvenient.

    Every kingdom had one.

    Then nations consolidated.

    One country, one currency.

    Then Europe decided even that was too many.

    So they created the euro.

    Various regions continue discussing monetary unions because fewer currencies make trade easier.

    Humanity spent centuries reducing the number of currencies.

    Crypto looked at this achievement and said:

    "Hold my beer."

    Today there are millions of tokens.

    Thousands of exchanges.

    Thousands of blockchains.

    Thousands of layer-ones.

    Thousands of layer-twos.

    Thousands of projects solving problems nobody knew existed.

    The average investor now needs a glossary larger than a medical textbook.

    We started with one dollar.

    Now we have:

    Bitcoin.

    Ethereum.

    Solana.

    Dogecoin.

    Shiba Inu.

    Pepe.

    Floki.

    And approximately 4.7 million coins named after animals, memes, vegetables, and emotional states.

    Somewhere an economist is quietly crying.


    Phase 5: Decentralization

    The promise was decentralization.

    No middlemen.

    No gatekeepers.

    No concentration.

    Today, giant exchanges dominate trading.

    Large funds dominate ownership.

    ETF providers hold enormous pools.

    Institutional investors are celebrated.

    The industry that began by saying "Trust nobody" now spends considerable time explaining why you should trust very large custodians.

    It's like opening an organic farmer's market and ending up inside a supermarket chain.


    Phase 6: The Awkward Relatives

    Every technology has a dark side.

    The internet gave us online education.

    It also gave us comment sections.

    Crypto likewise attracted some unusual use cases.

    Drug markets.

    Ransomware.

    Scams.

    Human trafficking.

    Money laundering.

    Terrorist financing.

    Of course, crypto advocates correctly point out that criminals also use cash.

    This is true.

    The difference is that nobody has ever tried to convince me that a suitcase full of cash represents the future of civilization.


    The Final Irony

    Bitcoin was born from distrust of governments.

    Today investors celebrate government adoption.

    It was designed to replace banks.

    Now banks offer Bitcoin products.

    It was supposed to become everyday money.

    It became an investment.

    It promised one universal currency.

    It produced millions.

    It promised decentralization.

    It created new centers of power.

    None of this necessarily means Bitcoin will fail.

    In fact, it may succeed spectacularly.

    But if Satoshi returned today and attended a crypto conference, he might spend half the event asking:

    "Wait... wasn't this exactly what we were trying to avoid?"



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    A quarter reported, a quarter saved, a quarter wiser.
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  • 2.  RE: Please pardon my AI slop

    Posted 7 hours ago

    I think there are two primary drivers of value for Bitcoin: (1) its scarcity relative to demand (gold-like) and (2) the fact that its scarcity will increase with time, due to the fact that only a finite amount of it will ever be created while some of that finite amount will be (and already has been) lost. Add to that the fact that it can be easily transferred around the globe in a nanosecond, and it has appeal as a tradable commodity. Being first on the blockchain scene also has merit.

    While it's still possible Bitcoin could go the way of tulip bulbs in Holland, so far it seems to have staying power. We'll see. I own a tiny chunk of it in a Fidelity crypto account (less than $10k), more or less as a novelty. But I might buy more if the price keeps going down.



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    Rob Adams
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